These are easily measured by using a crystalline sample of a compound using standard DSC equipment. However, the PLS-DA modelling attempts resulted in non-significant models (data not shown). In the next step, we therefore also included Tg-related parameters, which are assumed to represent properties related to the molecular
mobility of the amorphous state. Interestingly, the most predictive ZD1839 mw model, shown in Fig. 1, did not include any parameter representing an absolute temperature parameter (Tm or Tg), as could be expected since the quality of the amorphous product formed often are related to difference between formation temperature and Tg ( Yamaguchi et al., 1992). Instead it was the balance between thermodynamic and
kinetic properties, i.e. the adjusted parameters involving both Tm and Tg, that carried most information. In this case, the predictivity was 81% for the test set ( Fig. 1A). The model was based on Tg,red, Tm − Tg, ΔSm, ΔGcr × Tg,red, ΔHm, ΔGcr/Tg,red and ΔGcr/Tg,red and hence, the analysis showed that the Tg-related properties indeed carry information of importance for the prediction of glass-forming ability. In a general context, larger molecules are commonly less prone to crystallize from a liquid state (Baird et al., 2010). Therefore, we wanted to evaluate the effect HDAC inhibitor of Mw on the predictions and hence, a new model was built including all former parameters, together with Mw-related properties. In this analysis, only the adjusted parameter Tg,red × Mw remained after model refinement and this property predicted 91% and 94% correctly of the training and test sets, respectively ( Fig. 1B). We also found that equal predictivity was obtained from Mw alone (accuracy of training and test sets of 88% and 94%, respectively, Fig. 1C). The results obtained herein, based on a large and structurally diverse drug-like dataset, strengthen previous findings of the importance of molecular size and Tg as predictors of glass-forming
ability ( Lin et al., 2009). In the scientific discussion, it is often ADP ribosylation factor referred to Kauzmann (1948) and Turnbull (1969) who suggested that compounds with a Tg,red higher than 2/3 are good glass-formers. The theoretical rationale for this effect is that compounds with smaller super-cooled liquid regime (i.e. high Tg,red) have a lower probability for nucleation when cooled below its melting temperature due to less time spent in that critical region. This has been confirmed in a study on a homologous series of cyclic stilbenes ( Ping et al., 2011), but in the same publication it was argued not to be true when looking at more diverse chemical structures. Recently it was shown by Baird et al., that for a set of drug compounds the Tg,red is not useful for predicting glass-forming ability ( Baird et al., 2010). This is partially in line with our observation that Mw is a good predictor by itself, and that the Tg,red contributes with minor information.